Arsenal take on Stoke at the Emirates this weekend, and in the in-form Robin van Persie is fancied to fire them to another victory.
The Dutchman is in the form of his life and has netted 23 goals in 25 Premier League games in 2011.
It’s not hard to see him adding to that tally against a Potters side who are very poor on their travels and have never excelled in away games against London clubs – winning three and losing 12 of their visits to the capital.
They have also lost 4-0 away to Sunderland and 2-0 away at Swansea and seem unable to reproduce their best form when on the road.
The stats reveal that the Gunners have also won all three of their home matches against stoke in the PL, and they come into the game having won six of their last seven games at the Emirates in all competitions.
No surprise then that Arsenal are general 1.57 chances to make it three premier League wins on the bounce.
That price looks spot-on, but there is surely better value to be had in markets involving van Persie.
The red-hot striker is a 4.5 chance with Betfred, Boylesports, Paddy Power and Stan James to net the opener and that makes plenty of appeal.
However even better value surely has to be the even money (2) about him scoring anytime in the 90 minutes.
He is generally odds-on to do so and as short as 1.73 in a place. That makes the 2 on offer with Boylesports and Stan James look an absolute steal.
Given that Stoke have become something of a soft touch on their travels and have have fired in fewer shots on target (21) than any other team in the Premier League there must be every chance of Arsenal keeping a clean sheet.
They are around 2.55 chances to win to nil, but rather than play at those odds I would suggest having a couple of plays in the correct scores for a potentially bigger payout.
Arsenal to win 1-0 or 2-0 is my idea of the outcome. The former can be backed at 7 with bet365 and Victor Chandler while the latter is available at 7.5 with bet365 and Paddy Power.
Split stakes looks the way to play.
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